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Modeling Temporally Evolving and Spatially Globally Dependent Data

机译:建模时间演变和空间全球依赖数据

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摘要

The last decades have seen an unprecedented increase in the availability ofdata sets that are inherently global and temporally evolving, from remotelysensed networks to climate model ensembles. This paper provides a view ofstatistical modeling techniques for space-time processes, where space is thesphere representing our planet. In particular, we make a distintion between (a)second order-based, and (b) practical approaches to model temporally evolvingglobal processes. The former are based on the specification of a class ofspace-time covariance functions, with space being the two-dimensional sphere.The latter are based on explicit description of the dynamics of the space-timeprocess, i.e., by specifying its evolution as a function of its past historywith added spatially dependent noise. We especially focus on approach (a), where the literature has been sparse. Weprovide new models of space-time covariance functions for random fields definedon spheres cross time. Practical approaches, (b), are also discussed, withspecial emphasis on models built directly on the sphere, without projecting thespherical coordinate on the plane. We present a case study focused on the analysis of air pollution from the2015 wildfires in Equatorial Asia, an event which was classified as the year'sworst environmental disaster. The paper finishes with a list of the maintheoretical and applied research problems in the area, where we expect thestatistical community to engage over the next decade.
机译:在过去的几十年中,从遥感网络到集成的气候模型,固有的全球性和随时间变化的数据集的可用性空前增加。本文提供了用于时空过程的统计建模技术的视图,其中空间是代表我们星球的球体。尤其是,我们在(a)基于二阶和(b)对时间上发展的全局过程进行建模的实用方法之间进行了区分。前者基于一类时空协方差函数的规范,其中空间是二维球。后者基于对时空过程动力学的显式描述,即通过将其演化指定为函数过去的历史,并增加了空间相关的噪音。我们尤其关注文献稀疏的方法(a)。我们为球体跨时间定义的随机场提供了新的时空协方差函数模型。还讨论了实用方法(b),特别强调了直接建立在球体上的模型,而没有将球体坐标投影到平面上。我们提供了一个案例研究,重点分析了2015年赤道亚洲大火造成的空气污染,该事件被列为年度最严重的环境灾难。本文最后列出了该领域的主要理论和应用研究问题,我们希望统计领域在未来十年中能够参与其中。

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